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☆ 'Volatility could explode': The S&P 500 is ripe for a correction as tensions in the Middle East flare and inflation sticks, experts warn. Here's what to do with your money.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Since late October last year, the S&P 500 has risen as much as 27% on strong economic data and excitement about AI. Losses were steepest last week when Iran fired missiles at Israel, exacerbating regional and global tensions. But as more labor market and inflation data has come out, investors now believe a cut is off the table until at least July. The S&P 500 has now dipped below its 20-day moving average, like it did last summer when yields rose above 4.35%. "The VIX, SKEW and Put/Call Ratio all indicate that sophisticated investors are on edge and volatility could explode to 52-week highs in the weeks ahead," Essaye said.

Persons: —, that's, Israel, James Demmert, Demmert, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Tom Essaye, Essaye, selloff, Solita, It's, Marcelli, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Brent, Research, Federal Reserve, LPL, MAs, UBS Americas, UBS Global Investment Locations: Iran, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen

☆ Investment advisor picks stocks in two of the hottest markets in Asia
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestment advisor picks stocks in two of the hottest markets in AsiaJames Demmert of Main Street Research sees opportunities internationally and gives two stock recommendations.

Persons: Asia James Demmert Organizations: Email Investment, Research Locations: Asia

☆ This is Salesforce's show-me quarter for revenue and margin, says James Demmert
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is Salesforce's show-me quarter for revenue and margin, says James DemmertJames Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, gives his expectations for Salesforce's earnings report.

Persons: James Demmert James Demmert Organizations: Street Research

☆ Nvidia's numbers grew so big so fast investors wonder about sustainability, says Bernstein's Rasgon
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia's numbers grew so big so fast investors wonder about sustainability, says Bernstein's RasgonStacy Rasgon, Bernstein senior analyst, and James Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' with reaction to Nvidia's Q3 results

Persons: Bernstein's Rasgon Stacy Rasgon, Bernstein, James Demmert Organizations: Street Research

☆ Vital Knowledge's Adam Crisafulli is bullish near term, but expects headwinds in the medium
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailVital Knowledge's Adam Crisafulli is bullish near term, but expects headwinds in the mediumAdam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge Founder and James Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss rising yields and inflation's impact on the markets.

Persons: Adam Crisafulli, James Demmert Organizations: Vital Knowledge, Street Research

"This quarter is all about higher interest rates for longer," said Mike Mayo, an analyst at Wells Fargo. "There is a constructive environment, and investment banking fees tend to be higher through the end of the year," said Jason Goldberg, a banking analyst at Barclays. Despite the renewed optimism, investment banking activity remains depressed. As rates rise, bond prices fall, representing losses on paper that would be realized if the banks sold the bonds. More broadly, "we're back into this environment where investors think interest rates are going to remain higher for longer," he said.

Persons: JP Morgan Chase, Mike Segar, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's, Mike Mayo, Ebrahim Poonawala, Jason Goldberg, Richard Ramsden, James Demmert, Ramsden, Tatiana Bautzer, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Nick Zieminski 私 Organizations: JP, Co, REUTERS, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Wall Street, SoftBank's Arm Holdings, Barclays, U.S, Treasury, Valley Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Reuters, Street Research Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, dealmaking, Israel, Bengaluru

Israel responded with a declaration of war and a strong military response in the Gaza Strip, home to 2 million Palestinians. President Joe Biden ordered a U.S. naval carrier strike group to the region after pledging full support to Israel. Biden on Sunday spoke with Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, and pledged the full support of the U.S., including military assistance. “Geopolitical risks are back in focus amid the attack in Israel on Saturday,” said James Demmert, chief investment officer at Main Street Research. Key data on U.S. inflation is due to be released Wednesday with the producer price index and then Thursday with the consumer price index.

Persons: Joe Biden, Yoav Gallant, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, ”, James Demmert, Tony Welch, “ It’s, Dan Swan, Swan, ” Swan, “, Kevin McCarthy Organizations: Israeli, Main, Research, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, McKinsey, “ Airlines, Rep Locations: Israel, Gaza, U.S, New York, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Washington

☆ Nvidia is a company you've got to own in the new tech bull market: Main Street's James Demmert
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia is a company you've got to own in the new tech bull market: Main Street's James DemmertStacy Rasgon, Bernstein managing director and James Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' with reaction to Nvidia earnings.

Persons: you've, James Demmert Stacy Rasgon, Bernstein, James Demmert Organizations: Nvidia, Street Research

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Alejandra Grindal and James Demmert
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Alejandra Grindal and James DemmertAlejandra Grindal, Ned Davis Research senior international economist and James Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action, the latest CPI read and more.

Persons: Alejandra Grindal, James Demmert Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, James Demmert Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Street Research

☆ Today's CPI report is a reminder inflation is sticky despite Fed's efforts: Main Street's Demmert
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailToday's CPI report is a reminder inflation is sticky despite Fed's efforts: Main Street's DemmertAlejandra Grindal, Ned Davis Research senior international economist and James Demmert, Main Street Research CIO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action, the latest CPI read and more.

Persons: Alejandra Grindal, Ned Davis, James Demmert Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Street Research

☆ Stock futures rise slightly after July's cooler-than-anticipated consumer inflation reading: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures inched up on Thursday night as traders mulled over July's consumer inflation report and looked ahead to wholesale prices data. Futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 38 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively. The S&P 500 ticked up just 0.03%. On a weekly basis, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are bound for declines of 0.2% and 1.2%, respectively.

Persons: Dow Jones, James Demmert, it's, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Research, CPI

☆ These 11 funds have performed as well as tech stocks over the past 5 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Look beyond tech But there are opportunities beyond tech: Morningstar data reveals the funds outside of tech and growth sectors that have also outperformed over the last five years. Top holdings include Home Depot, Johnson Controls International, Floor & Décor and Trane Technologies. Guinness Atkinson Alternative Energy Fund : This fund picks companies in the alternative energy sector, with at least half of the business dedicated to renewable energy or energy efficiency. Global X Lithium and Battery Tech ETF : The ETF comprises lithium producers and lithium battery makers — all essential to electric vehicles. Top holdings include United Airlines, Marathon Oil, Tyson Foods, Best Buy, and Synchrony Financial.

Persons: James Demmert, Hubbell, MasTec, Invesco Russell, Russell, Vanguard Baillie Gifford Organizations: Street Research, U.S . Federal, Morningstar, Enphase Energy, Fidelity, Housing, Home, Johnson, Trane Technologies, Guinness Atkinson Alternative Energy Fund, Schneider, NextEra Energy, Shelton Sustainable Equity Fund, Bunge, Battery Tech ETF, Samsung SDI, Trust, Industrial Renaissance, SPX Technologies, Sterling Infrastructure, Global, U.S . Infrastructure Development, Holdings, Rockwell Automation, United Rentals, Deere, Co, United Airlines, Marathon Oil, Tyson Foods, Synchrony, Heptagon, Equity Fund, Xenon Pharmaceuticals, TransMedics, FTAI Aviation, Vanguard, Moderna, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Coursera, Water Resources, Nasdaq, Water Locations: Luxembourg, Eaton, Albemarle

☆ Markets are 'overdue' a correction, investment manager says — and picks 3 stocks to buy
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. markets are "overdue" a 10% correction, with stocks largely in overbought territory, according to James Demmert, chief investment officer of Main Street Research. "We would argue that yes, we're closer to the end of the bear market. Some investors do not consider it the end of a bear market until the S & P 500 reaches a new high. Its all-time closing high is 4,796.56; the S & P 500 was trading around 4,510 Monday. Three stocks to buy In the event of a near-term market correction, investors should have "some dry powder ready to go," said Demmert.

Persons: James Demmert, Demmert, we're, CNBC's, Warren Buffett Organizations: Research, CNBC, Mitsui, Devices Locations: Japan, France, Germany, U.S

☆ Nervous about high rates? Analysts like these cash-rich stocks, giving one nearly 80% upside
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Key beneficiaries Analysts recently flagged cash-rich companies as a beneficiary of higher interest rates. It said that consumer services, software and semiconductor companies are among those likeliest to profit the most from higher interest. "With higher interest rates, companies with robust balance sheets may be able to generate substantial amounts of interest income and surprise to the upside." The higher the free cash flow yield, the better a company's position to meet its debt obligations. A company with a high free cash flow is also able to access cash more quickly in the event of an emergency or opportunity.

Persons: James Demmert, Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, BofA, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Main, Research, Companies, ", CNBC Pro, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Broadcom, German, Lufthansa, Honda Motor, Renault Locations: U.S

☆ AI is booming in the stock market. Is it too late to invest?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Last Thursday, the S&P 500 entered a bull market — up 20% from its recent lows. But the market’s strength has been mostly driven by a handful of mega-cap tech stocks, Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta (META), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Nvidia (NVDA). Before the Bell: AI is causing a big market boom right now, but that boom also seems to be concentrated in mega-cap tech stocks. Everything you wanted to know about a bull market but were afraid to askThe US entered a bull market last Thursday, finally. A bear in bull’s clothes: A 20% lift from recent lows is generally accepted as the definition of the start of a bull market.

Persons: ”, Matt Bartolini, Bell, Pets.com, I’m, They’ve, Adam Turnquist, James Demmert, what’s, Jerome Powell’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Bank of America, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, SPDR, Street Global Advisors, Meta, US, LPL, Big Tech, Main, Research, Investors, Federal Reserve, P Global Market Intelligence, ▸, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: New York, Europe, SPDR Americas, Big, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong

☆ Wall Street is placing its bets for a big Fed meeting and inflation reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The betting is also that the latest inflation reading for May that will be reported Tuesday, just as the two-day Fed meeting gets underway, will show additional progress in the fight against higher prices. Those views have helped power a broader stock market rally on Wall Street this month. In fact, the combination of the narrow stock market rally in 2023, until this month at least, plus the low VIX reading, leads Demmert to expect a 10% stock market correction at some point. "The stock market at large is in overbought territory and investors are very complacent, which was the case prior to the past three major declines within this 18-month bear market. Between the June and September meetings, the Fed would get three more inflation and three more payrolls reports.

Persons: Russell, Scott Ladner, Ladner, James Demmert, that's, Demmert, Jerome Powell's, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Jerome Powell, John Wiley, CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox Organizations: Fed, CME Group, CPI, Horizon Investments, Street Research, Investors, North, Capital Economics, Capital, UBS, Federal, Philadelphia Fed, Adobe, University of Michigan Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina, SPX, downtrends, North America

☆ How can we possibly be in a bull market now? Two letters: AI
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

That’s a strange place to find a bull market. After a horrible year for Big Tech in 2022, optimism has returned as ChatGPT has made AI the it-thing in Silicon Valley. That brought an end to the bear market that began in January 2022, since a 20% lift from recent lows is generally accepted as the definition of the start of a bull market. However, there is no exact definition — and the current market situation is a bit more nuanced than the typical bull market-bear market binary. The silver liningEntering a bull market lifts investor sentiment, which could propel upward momentum in markets.

Persons: ”, Sameer Samana, ChatGPT, Tesla, Matt Bartolini, It’s, Apple iPhones, Berkshire Hathaway, James Demmert, “, don’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Big Tech, Investors, Apple, Nvidia, SPDR, Street Global Advisors, Meta, Google, Berkshire, Main, Research, Bank of America Locations: New York, United States, Europe, Wells Fargo, Silicon Valley, SPDR Americas, Meta, “

☆ Stock futures are flat as Wall Street weighs likelihood of higher rate hikes: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. stock futures were flat on Wednesday night as traders processed fresh job market data and comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped by 0.01% and 0.03%, respectively. During the regular session, the Dow dipped 58.06 points, or 0.18%, marking its second negative session in a row. These mixed results came after new numbers on the job market led investors to believe that higher rate hikes are more likely. "The global economy is more resilient than many realized, which will make inflation stickier and is extending central bankers' terminal rate target.

☆ US stocks trade mixed as investors assess outlook for rates after Powell testimony
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Fed Chair warned steeper rate hikes may be needed due to strong economic data. Higher interest rates could also raise the risk of recession, which is weighing on investors. "The labour market remains extremely tight despite 450 basis points of rate hikes in the last year," Lazard chief market strategist Ronald Temple said in a statement. Higher interest rates are also raising investors' fear of an incoming recession. This combination of a weakening economy and more rate hikes would surely push the economy into a recession," Main Street Research chief investment officer James Demmert said.

☆ Strategist says it's the 'last phase' of the bear market — and names 3 stocks to buy right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks are in the "last phase" of the bear market — and investors should look forward to the second half of 2023, one analyst says. "We're sort of in the last phase of the bear market," said James Demmert, chief investment officer at Main Street Research. He pointed to another sign that the bear market is nearing its end: terminal rate estimates are rising and staying high for longer. Markets rallied at the start of the year, but Demmert said that was just another bear market rally. One of them is pharmaceutical firm Novo Nordisk , which he says is "a good example of what you want to own in a bear market."

☆ Stocks slide but dollar gains as central banks continue inflation battle
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-15 | by ( Lawrence Delevingne | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks fell, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) slipping 2.5%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) down about 2.6% and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) off 3%. The STOXX (.STOXX) fell by about 2.85% as heavyweight stocks across sectors sank. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Thursday, with the yield on 10-year Treasury notes down 6.4 basis points to 3.439% and the 30-year down 8.1 basis points to 3.459%. China's economy, however, lost more steam in November as factory output slowed and retail sales fell again, hobbled by surging COVID-19 infections. U.S. crude fell 0.75% to $76.70 per barrel and Brent was at $81.85, down 1.03% on the day.

☆ Market veteran says a new bull market is 'not far away' — and reveals how to play it
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The stock market has experienced a series of bear market rallies this year. Demmert said the bear market is now its "third and final phase." It is now in its 11 th month of a typical 12–15-month cycle, according to Demmert — indicating that a bottom could be close. "It's sort of an all-weather company at this point because they have the dominant exposure in that market globally. "That's where people go where they think it's safe, such as Google [parent Alphabet ] and Microsoft in the tech space.

☆ CNBC Stock World Cup: Visa vs Microsoft and Naspers vs Softbank — who wins?
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Stock World Cup: Visa vs Microsoft and Naspers vs Softbank — who wins? Heading into the World Cup season, CNBC spoke to Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management on whether Visa or Microsoft will give investors a greater total return over the next 12 months. And James Demmert from Main Street Research gives his take on who's going to be the winner between Naspers and SoftBank. 01:20 2 hours ago

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